[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"project-81992":3},{"id":4,"name":5,"fullName":6,"owner":7,"repo":5,"description":8,"homepage":9,"htmlUrl":10,"language":11,"languages":10,"totalLinesOfCode":10,"stars":12,"forks":13,"watchers":14,"openIssues":14,"contributorsCount":15,"subscribersCount":15,"size":15,"stars1d":16,"stars7d":17,"stars30d":18,"stars90d":15,"forks30d":15,"starsTrendScore":19,"compositeScore":20,"rankGlobal":10,"rankLanguage":10,"license":10,"archived":21,"fork":21,"defaultBranch":22,"hasWiki":21,"hasPages":21,"topics":23,"createdAt":10,"pushedAt":10,"updatedAt":26,"readmeContent":27,"aiSummary":28,"trendingCount":15,"starSnapshotCount":15,"syncStatus":29,"lastSyncTime":30,"discoverSource":31},81992,"2026-world-cup-predictor","mikobinbin\u002F2026-world-cup-predictor","mikobinbin","2026 FIFA World Cup H2H Match Prediction | Poisson xG + Mystic Factors + Mobile-first | 世界杯H2H对战预测","https:\u002F\u002Fworldcup.imiaozhan.com",null,"Python",153,10,1,0,16,59,115,66,90,false,"main",[24,25],"2026-world-cup","world-cup","2026-06-12 04:01:36","# ⚽ 2026 FIFA World Cup — H2H Match Predictor\n\n> **English:** A Poisson xG model powered by Elo differentials + mystic factors (I Ching \u002F Tao Te Ching) for head-to-head World Cup match prediction and winner betting odds comparison with Polymarket markets.\n\n> **中文：** 基于 Elo 差值的 Poisson xG 模型 + 玄学因子的世界杯对战预测系统\n\n> **Live:** [worldcup.imiaozhan.com](https:\u002F\u002Fworldcup.imiaozhan.com)\n\n---\n\n## 🧩 核心功能\n\n### ⚔️ H2H 对战预测\n任意两支球队的历史交锋、胜率预测、**比分概率矩阵**（含大比分博弈区）\n\n### 📊 比分预测模型\n- **Poisson xG**：基于两队 Elo 差值推算期望进球 λ\n- **Top 6 最可能比分**：概率从高到低排列\n- **大比分博弈区**：总进球 ≥ 3 的搏冷选项（黄色高亮）\n\n### 🔮 玄学因子引擎\n| 模块 | 内容 |\n|------|------|\n| 易经 | 乾卦预测冠军气质 |\n| 道德经 | 顺势\u002F逆势哲学框架 |\n| 三重境界 | 逻辑\u002F道法\u002F价值三层校验 |\n| 彩票悖论 | 热门陷阱与逆势价值 |\n\n### 👤 UCL 决赛心态信号\n姆巴佩、登贝莱、劳塔罗等球员决赛表现量化接入，映射到 Brazil 2014 \u002F France 2018 历史框架调参\n\n---\n\n## 📱 在线体验\n\n**移动端优先**：https:\u002F\u002Fworldcup.imiaozhan.com\n\n支持任意两队 H2H 对战预测，实时显示胜平负概率 + 比分分布\n\n---\n\n## 🛠 本地运行\n\n```bash\ngit clone https:\u002F\u002Fgithub.com\u002Fmikobinbin\u002F2026-world-cup-predictor.git\ncd 2026-world-cup-predictor\n\npip install -r requirements.txt\npython3 -m src.dashboard.mobile_ui\n# 访问 http:\u002F\u002Flocalhost:8080\u002Fmobile\n```\n\n---\n\n## 📂 项目结构\n\n```\nworld-cup-predictor\u002F\n├── src\u002F\n│   ├── dashboard\u002F\n│   │   └── mobile_ui.py       # 移动端 UI（主入口）\n│   ├── models\u002F\n│   │   ├── ucl_final_mentality.py  # UCL 决赛心态信号\n│   │   └── mystic_factor.py    # 玄学因子引擎\n│   └── simulation\u002F\n│       └── elo_engine.py      # Elo 评分系统\n├── data\u002F\n│   ├── elo_cache_2026.json   # 52 队 Elo 数据\n│   └── wc2026_squads_wikipedia.json  # 阵容数据\n├── SKILL.md                   # Hermes Agent 工作流笔记\n└── SERVER_DEPLOY.md           # 服务器部署指南\n```\n\n---\n\n## 🔑 核心模型\n\n### Poisson xG 期望进球\n\n```\nλA = 1.3 + (eloA - 1700) \u002F 500\nλB = 1.3 + (eloB - 1700) \u002F 500\nP(ga, gb) = Poisson(ga | λA) × Poisson(gb | λB)\n```\n\n### 玄学因子权重（可调）\n\n| 因子 | 说明 |\n|------|------|\n| Elo 评分 | 球队实力基准 |\n| 年龄结构 | 新老交替周期 |\n| 大赛经验 | 淘汰赛 survival 概率 |\n| 状态趋势 | 近 6 场表现 |\n| 教练因子 | 战术调整能力 |\n| 玄学加成 | 易经\u002F道德经综合判断 |\n\n---\n\n## 📌 更新记录\n\n- **2026-05** — H2H 对战 + 比分预测 + 大比分博弈区上线\n- **2026-05** — UCL 决赛心态信号接入（姆巴佩\u002F登贝莱\u002F劳塔罗）\n- **2026-05** — 玄学因子引擎（易经\u002F道德经\u002F三重境界）\n","该项目是一个2026年世界杯对战预测系统，结合了Poisson xG模型和玄学因子来预测比赛结果。其核心功能包括基于Elo差值的H2H对战预测、比分概率矩阵以及融入易经与道德经等元素的玄学因子分析。此外，还引入了UCL决赛球员心态信号，以历史表现数据为依据进行调参。该系统特别适用于需要高精度赛事预测的场景，如体育博彩分析或球迷互动平台。项目采用Python开发，并优先考虑移动端用户体验。",2,"2026-06-11 04:07:23","CREATED_QUERY"]